From Domestic Stability to Global Resilience: Analyzing Pakistan's Foreign Policy, Regional Dynamics, and Socioeconomic Pathways in the Context of COP 29

Abstract

The significance of environmental sustainability, regional stability, and socioeconomic resilience as global issues was underscored at COP 29. In this context, Pakistan's internal stability is contingent upon the stability of the region, society, economy, and foreign policy. In order to investigate these dynamics, this mixed-methods study implements quantitative regression analysis and qualitative in-depth interviews. The qualitative results show that national dignity and popular faith in the government are directly connected to foreign policy effectiveness. Interviewees expressed that strong and positive foreign policy boosts residents' security and hope for the country's future. Conversely, regional unrest, especially in neighboring nations, may destabilize communities by causing suspicion and terror. Social well-being and economic circumstances were again stressed as necessary for internal stability, with respondents expressing that better social services and economic possibilities help reduce external pressures. Quantitative analysis validates qualitative conclusions. Research indicates that public trust in foreign policy efficacy positively correlates with domestic stability (β = 0.435, p = 0.002). Regional upheaval adversely affects internal stability (β = -0.109, p = 0.039), indicating that foreign conflicts and tensions destabilize the nation. Social well-being (β = 0.513, p = 0.001) significantly predicted domestic stability, emphasizing the significance of social cohesiveness and public services in preserving peace. Economic circumstances significantly impact domestic order (β = 0.367, p = 0.042), indicating the importance of economic growth and stability. Pakistan needs a multifaceted strategy for internal stability. For long-term stability, social well-being and economic circumstances must improve. These results are valid for national and international policymakers and future peace studies in geopolitically vulnerable locations.